Consumer (1 of 6)
Retail
In one minute
Retailers buy goods from suppliers and sell them to shoppers in stores and online, keeping a small margin on every sale.
The big idea: Retail is a volume game on thin margins. A supermarket keeps only about 2 to 5 cents of each euro of sales as operating profit, so small changes in waste, theft, staff hours or buying prices decide whether a store makes money. Profit comes from three things multiplied together: enough shoppers, a healthy margin on what they buy, and a low cost to serve them.
- One unit, in numbers
- One supermarket in Spain for a year: EUR 9 million comes in, and EUR 555 thousand (6.2%) is left after its own costs.What is left is the unit's contribution, before the costs of the whole company. See the worked example
- Typical margin
- 2 to 5 percent in grocery; about 8 to 20 percent for strong apparel chainsRoughly how much of every 100 of sales (or income) is left as profit after the running costs. More on margin
- Capital intensity
- MediumA fair amount of money is tied up, in things like stores, stock or equipment. More on capital intensity
- The number to watch
- Like-for-like (LFL) sales growthSales growth only from stores open in both periods, so new stores cannot hide a decline in old ones (called comparable or "comp" sales in the US).
Ask this first in a case
Which format and which country: grocery, apparel, department store or convenience, and where?
Words used above (1)
- Like-for-like (LFL) sales:
- Sales growth from stores open in both periods only; called comparable or comp sales in the US.
The industry's other words are explained in Words to know (11).
On this page (17 sections)
How money is made
- The trading margin: the gap between the shelf price and what the retailer paid the supplier (a gross margin of about 20 to 30 percent in grocery and 50 to 65 percent in apparel).
- Supplier income: brands pay for listings, good shelf space and promotions.
- Own brands (private label): products sold under the retailer's own name, cheaper for shoppers but usually a higher margin for the retailer.
- Retail media: selling advertising to brands on the retailer's website, app and in-store screens, using shopper data.
- Memberships and services: paid memberships (Costco, Walmart+), franchise fees in convenience, rent from brands that run counters in department stores (concessions), and store credit cards.
- Cash timing: grocers often sell goods before they pay the supplier, so suppliers partly fund the stock.
Worked example: one unit
Unit economics means the money in and out for one unit of the business. Start from the revenue, take away the unit's own costs, and what is left is its contribution. More on unit economics
| Line | Amountin EUR thousands | ShareShare of revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Sales: 1,500 square metres x EUR 6,000 per square metre | EUR 9,000 | 100% |
| Minus Cost of goods sold, after supplier rebates (74 percent of sales) | EUR 6,660 | 74% |
| Minus Shrink: theft, damage and spoiled food (1.5 percent of sales) | EUR 135 | 1.5% |
| Minus Store staff (10 percent of sales) | EUR 900 | 10% |
| Minus Rent | EUR 450 | 5% |
| Minus Other store costs: energy, cleaning, card fees | EUR 300 | 3.3% |
| What is left (contribution) | EUR 555 | 6.2% |
Check: EUR 9,000 minus EUR 8,445 of costs leaves EUR 555 (in EUR thousands).
So what: The store keeps EUR 555 thousand, about 6 percent of sales, before head office costs. One extra point of shrink would cut that by EUR 90 thousand (about 16 percent), and the store would need about EUR 346 thousand of extra sales to earn it back, so waste, theft and staff hours move store profit more than almost anything else.
Key measures(8)
Key measures (also called KPIs, key performance indicators) are the numbers people in this industry track. Ask for the first one or two early in a case.
Like-for-like (LFL) sales growth
Sales growth only from stores open in both periods, so new stores cannot hide a decline in old ones (called comparable or "comp" sales in the US). Glossary: Like-for-like (LFL) sales growth
Sales per square metre
Yearly sales divided by selling area: how well a store turns its space into sales, and the quickest test of whether it earns its rent. Glossary: Sales per square metre
Footfall, conversion and basket
Sales = visitors x the share who buy x the average amount spent per purchase; it shows which part of sales moved.
Gross margin
Sales minus the cost of the goods sold, as a share of sales. Glossary: Gross margin
Typical: About 20 to 30 percent in grocery (US grocers average about 26 percent) and 50 to 65 percent in apparel[1]
Shrink
Stock that is lost and never sold (theft, damage, spoiled food, errors), as a share of sales. Glossary: Shrink
Typical: About 1.4 to 1.6 percent of sales on average for US retailers in 2021 and 2022[4]
Inventory turns
Cost of goods sold in a year divided by average stock held: how many times the stock is sold and replaced each year (365 divided by turns gives days of stock).
Typical: Walmart about 9 times a year (worked out from its fiscal 2026 results); a clothing chain may turn only about 4 times[2]
Operating margin
Operating profit (after all running costs, before interest and tax) as a share of sales.
Typical: About 2.3 percent for US grocers and 6.8 percent for US general retailers[1]
Online share of sales
The share of sales ordered online, which brings picking and delivery costs that store sales do not have.
First questions to ask
When a case lands in this industry, these questions get you to the numbers that matter.
- Which format and which country: grocery, apparel, department store or convenience, and where?
- Is the problem in the stores we already have (like-for-like sales), or in new stores and the growth plan?
- Did sales move because of fewer shoppers, fewer buyers per visit, or a smaller basket?
- How is gross margin moving by category, and what is happening to shrink and markdowns?
- What do the best stores in the chain do differently, measured by sales per square metre and store profit?
Value chain: where the margin sits
The value chain is the steps a product or service passes through, from the first supplier to the customer. Each step below shows how much of the value it keeps. More on value chains
Step 1: Make the product
Margin variesBrand owners and manufacturers (Nestlé, Unilever, local food makers) and the factories that make own-brand goods
Strong brand owners often earn far higher margins than the retailers that sell their products (see the Consumer goods brief).
Step 2: Buying and range
Medium marginThe retailer's buying teams
Choose what to sell and negotiate price, rebates and promotion funding. Supplier income can be a large part of a grocer's profit.
Step 3: Logistics: distribution centres and trucks
Thin marginThe retailer's own warehouses and fleets, logistics firms and wholesalers
A cost centre of about 2 to 4 percent of sales in grocery.
Step 4: Store operations
Thin marginThe retailer's own stores, or franchisees in convenience (small local stores)
Staff, rent, energy and shrink (lost stock) use up most of the gross margin.
Step 5: Online orders and delivery
Thin marginRetailer websites and apps, delivery partners and quick commerce apps
Picking and delivering each order costs money that a store shopper does for free.
Step 6: After the sale: data, advertising and services
Fat marginRetail media teams, loyalty programmes, memberships and store credit cards
Advertising sold to brands on the retailer's app and screens earns a high margin.
Profit pool: who keeps the money
Where in the value chain the profit ends up, which is often not where most of the sales are. More on profit pools
In grocery, much of the profit in the chain sits upstream with brand owners, who earn operating margins of about 10 to 22 percent against 2 to 5 percent for the grocer. Retailers win profit back through buying scale, own brands, supplier income and newer high-margin streams such as retail media and paid memberships. Discounters with small ranges and high sales per store, and local champions that know their shoppers, win in many markets.
Cost structure(6)
The main costs, each as a share of revenue (the money from sales).
- Cost of goods sold (what suppliers are paid, after rebates)
- 70 to 78 percent
- Store staff
- 8 to 12 percent
- Rent and occupancy
- 3 to 6 percent
- Logistics (warehouses and trucks to stores)
- 2 to 4 percent
- Other store costs (energy, cleaning, card fees, shrink)
- 2 to 4 percent
- Head office and marketing
- 2 to 3 percent
Benchmarks(7)
Typical figures for the industry, to check a client's numbers against.
- Operating margin, US grocery retail
- About 2.3 percent[1]US-listed companies, January 2026 data.
- Operating margin, US general retail
- About 6.8 percent[1]US-listed companies, January 2026 data.
- Walmart, year to January 2026
- Revenue about USD 713 billion; gross profit rate 24.2 percent; operating income about 4.2 percent of revenue[2]
- Tesco adjusted operating profit, 2025/26
- About GBP 3.15 billion on about GBP 66.6 billion of sales (excluding VAT and fuel), a little under 5 percent[3]On a comparable 52-week basis; the year had 53 weeks.
- Average shrink, US retailers
- About 1.6 percent of sales in 2022, up from 1.4 percent in 2021[4]
- Own brands (private label) share of grocery value, 17 European countries
- About 38.7 percent in the 12 months to early October 2025[5]
- Operating margin, two large fashion chains, 2025
- Inditex (Zara) about 20 percent; H&M about 8 percent[16]H&M figure from its full-year report 2025. The best apparel chains sit well above grocers.
Typical cases(8)
Case prompts you might hear in this industry.
- Our client is a supermarket chain in Poland. Sales grew last year but profits fell. What is going on, and what should they do?
- A Gulf grocer wants to open 40 new stores in Saudi Arabia over five years. Should it, and how fast?
- A UK department store chain is losing money. Which stores should it keep, and what should it do with the space?
- A fashion chain in India ends every season with too much unsold stock. How would you fix it?
- Should a European grocer grow its own brands from 30 to 45 percent of sales?
- A supermarket chain in Southeast Asia wants to sell advertising to the brands on its shelves. How much could this be worth?
- Shrink at a US drugstore chain has doubled in three years. Where would you look first?
- How many supermarkets does Riyadh need?
Common traps(5)
Mistakes candidates make in this industry, and what to do instead.
- Praising total sales growth without asking for like-for-like growth. Instead, split growth into new stores and existing stores first: new stores can hide a decline.
- Treating a bigger basket caused by inflation as real growth. Instead, split the basket into number of items and price per item.
- Comparing gross margins across formats (apparel keeps far more per sale than grocery). Instead, compare operating margin or store profit within the same format.
- Ignoring shrink and markdowns because they hide inside cost of goods. Instead, ask for them directly: in grocery one extra point of shrink can remove a sixth of a store's profit.
- Opening new stores next to old ones without counting the sales they take away (cannibalization). Instead, estimate net new sales for the whole area.
What changed, 2024 to 2026(6)
Recent changes a case could turn on.
- Own brands keep gaining in Europe: private label reached about 38.7 percent of grocery value across 17 countries in the 12 months to early October 2025, slightly up on a year earlier. Brand owners lose shelf space and price power to discounters such as Aldi and Lidl.[5]
- Retail media became a real profit line. Walmart's global advertising business grew 46 percent to nearly USD 6.4 billion in the year to January 2026, earning far more per dollar than selling groceries.[2]
- The US suspended its USD 800 duty-free limit (de minimis) for low-value parcels from all countries on 29 August 2025, raising costs for ultra-cheap sellers that ship single parcels from abroad and helping store-based retailers.[6]
- In November 2025 EU governments agreed to remove the EUR 150 customs duty exemption for small parcels in 2026, with a simple temporary duty until a permanent system is ready.[7]
- Theft became a board topic. Police-recorded shoplifting in England and Wales rose for several years, then fell 4 percent to about 507,000 offences in the year to March 2026; retailers still spend more on tags, cameras and guards.[8]
- In India, quick commerce apps grew very fast (Blinkit's order value rose about 95 percent in the year to the March 2026 quarter) and now compete with supermarkets and kiranas for top-up shopping.[9]
Players by region(7)
Well-known companies in each region. You do not need to learn them by heart; they help you picture the market.
- Global
- Walmart (US, first by retail revenue in Deloitte's 2025 ranking)
- Amazon
- Costco (membership warehouse clubs)
- Schwarz Group (Lidl and Kaufland, Germany)
- Aldi (German discounter)
- Europe
- Tesco (UK)
- Carrefour (France)
- Ahold Delhaize (Netherlands and Belgium)
- Schwarz Group and Aldi (discount-led groups in Deloitte's global top 10)
- Inditex (Zara) and H&M in apparel
- Middle East
- Lulu Retail (UAE hypermarkets, listed in Abu Dhabi in November 2024)
- Majid Al Futtaim (runs Carrefour stores under franchise in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt and other markets; in Jordan, Oman, Bahrain and Kuwait it replaced them with its own HyperMax brand in 2024 and 2025)
- Panda Retail (Saudi Arabia, part of Savola)
- Othaim Markets (Saudi Arabia)
- India
- Reliance Retail (about 20,160 stores at March 2026)
- Avenue Supermarts (DMart, 500 stores at March 2026)
- Trent (Westside and Zudio, part of the Tata Group)
- Kirana stores (small family shops that still sell a large share of groceries)
- Southeast Asia
- CP All (runs 7-Eleven in Thailand)
- DFI Retail Group (Hong Kong based; sold its Singapore supermarkets in 2025)
- SM Retail (Philippines)
- Alfamart and Indomaret (Indonesian minimarket chains)
- United States
- Walmart
- Costco
- Kroger (supermarkets)
- Target
- Home Depot (home improvement)
- Africa
- Shoprite (South Africa; revenue about ZAR 257 billion and a net 281 new stores in the year to June 2025)
- Many local chains and informal shops (spaza shops, dukas)
Words to know(11)
Linked words have a fuller entry in the glossary.
- Like-for-like (LFL) sales (glossary entry)
- Sales growth from stores open in both periods only; called comparable or comp sales in the US.
- Sales per square metre (glossary entry)
- Yearly sales divided by selling area; also called sales density.
- Shrink (glossary entry)
- Stock lost to theft, damage, spoilage or errors, shown as a share of sales.
- Markdown (glossary entry)
- A price cut to clear slow or end-of-season stock.
- Private label (own brand) (glossary entry)
- Products sold under the retailer's own name instead of a famous brand.
- Inventory turns
- How many times a year the stock is sold and replaced.
- Gross margin (glossary entry)
- Sales minus the cost of the goods sold, as a share of sales.
- Footfall, conversion and basket
- Visitors to a store, the share who buy, and the average amount each buyer spends.
- Retail media
- Advertising a retailer sells to brands on its website, app and in-store screens.
- Distribution centre
- A large warehouse that receives goods from suppliers and sends mixed loads to stores.
- Cannibalization (glossary entry)
- When a new store or product takes sales from the company's own existing ones.
Business model patterns
The ways of making money this industry follows. Spot the pattern in a new industry and you already know the first questions to ask.
Sources(17)
Facts checked on . Worked examples are illustrative, shaped by these sources rather than one company's figures.
- 1.Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern: operating and net margins by industry (US), data as of January 2026 (opens in a new tab)
- 2.Walmart: fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K exhibit, February 2026) (opens in a new tab)
- 3.Tesco PLC: preliminary results 2025/26 (April 2026) (opens in a new tab)
- 4.National Retail Federation (US): National Retail Security Survey 2023 (opens in a new tab)
- 5.PLMA with NielsenIQ data: private label sales and shares across Europe (2025) (opens in a new tab)
- 6.US Customs and Border Protection: end of the de minimis exemption (August 2025) (opens in a new tab)
- 7.European Commission: EUR 150 customs duty exemption to be removed (November 2025) (opens in a new tab)
- 8.UK Office for National Statistics: Crime in England and Wales, year ending March 2026 (opens in a new tab)
- 9.Eternal Q4 FY26 results (Blinkit), reported by Indian Startup News (2026) (opens in a new tab)
- 10.Deloitte, Global Powers of Retailing 2025 (opens in a new tab)
- 11.Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange: Lulu Retail starts trading (November 2024) (opens in a new tab)
- 12.Gulf News: Carrefour exits more GCC countries as Kuwait stores shut after Bahrain, Oman and Jordan (September 2025) (opens in a new tab)
- 13.Reliance Retail FY26 results, reported by Outlook Business (April 2026) (opens in a new tab)
- 14.Avenue Supermarts (DMart) FY26 results, reported by ScanX (2026) (opens in a new tab)
- 15.Shoprite Holdings: 2025 financial results announcement (opens in a new tab)
- 16.Inditex: FY2025 results, 1 February 2025 to 31 January 2026 (March 2026) (opens in a new tab)
- 17.H&M Group: full-year report 2025 (January 2026) (opens in a new tab)
Go deeper and practise
Go deeper
The full lessons behind this brief, with sources and worked cases.
Same pattern elsewhere
Industries that make money in a similar way. What you learned here carries over.
- E-commerce and quick commerceOnline shops and marketplaces sell goods through websites and apps and deliver them to the door, some within 10 to 30 minutes.Shares: Scale retail
- Luxury and fashionLuxury houses and fashion brands design, make and sell clothes, handbags, shoes, jewellery, watches and beauty products, from very expensive and rare to cheap and fast.Shares: Scale retail
- Restaurants and food serviceRestaurants, cafes, fast food chains and caterers turn ingredients and staff time into meals, served at the table, at the counter or delivered.Shares: Franchise
- Hotels and travelHotels rent rooms by the night, and travel companies such as online travel agencies earn a cut for bringing them guests.Shares: Franchise