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Is wider distribution in Nigeria worth it?
You run the case. Read the prompt, answer questions from the notes below, and share data only when the candidate asks for it or gets stuck. Score at the end.
Case timer
00:00
1. Read the prompt aloud
Read it slowly, then pause. Let the candidate ask questions before they structure.
An illustrative biscuit brand in Nigeria is stocked in 40,000 outlets, which each sell 30 packs a week. The brand receives NGN 150 per pack and earns a 40 percent gross margin. A distributor can add 20,000 smaller outlets that would each sell 20 packs a week, but serving them adds NGN 30 of cost per pack. What revenue does the brand make today, and what weekly contribution would the new outlets add?
2. Answers to clarifying questions
This case has no scripted clarifying answers. Answer from the prompt, and say "assume what you think is reasonable" if the prompt does not cover it.
3. A model structure
Compare the candidate's structure with this one. A different split can be just as good if it is clean and fits the problem.
- Revenue = outlets x rate of sale x net price per pack
- Today's outlets
- New outlets: smaller rate of sale and extra cost to serve
4. The working, step by step
Each step shows how a strong candidate works it out. Share a new fact from it only when the candidate asks or is stuck, and let them do the math: the result in the dark box is what they should reach.
Step 1: Revenue today
What a strong candidate does: 40,000 outlets x 30 packs x NGN 150, in NGN millions per week.
Weekly revenue today (NGN millions): 40,000 × 30 × 150 ÷ 1,000,000 = 180
Step 2: Contribution per new pack
What a strong candidate does: Gross margin of 40 percent of NGN 150 is NGN 60, minus NGN 30 cost to serve.
Contribution per new pack (NGN): 150 × 0.4 - 30 = 30
Step 3: Weekly contribution added
What a strong candidate does: 20,000 outlets x 20 packs x NGN 30.
Added weekly contribution (NGN millions): 20,000 × 20 × 30 ÷ 1,000,000 = 12
The recommendation to listen for
At the end, say: "The CEO walks in. What is your recommendation?"
Yes, the brand should add the 20,000 new outlets if the distributor's cost estimate holds, because they add about NGN 12 million of contribution a week on top of NGN 180 million of weekly revenue today. First, each new outlet sells only 20 packs a week, but each pack still earns NGN 30 after the extra cost. Second, this means wider distribution pays, although gains shrink in more remote shops. The risk is that serving small outlets costs more than NGN 30 per pack. As a next step, pilot with part of the new outlets and track sales and cost per pack.
Score the candidate
Score each criterion from 1 to 5. A 2 or a 4 sits between the descriptions.
This case has no exhibit. Score Exhibit reading on how the candidate used the data you gave them: did they pick out the number that matters and say what it means?
Total
0 out of 25
Score all five criteria to see the band and the feedback template.