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Asset management and funds

Power law (venture capital)

In venture capital, a few big winners produce most of the returns.

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What does Power law (venture capital) mean?

A power law describes outcomes where a very small number of cases are far bigger than all the rest. In venture capital, most startups fail or return little, while one or two huge successes return more than the rest of the fund put together. Example: a fund makes 20 investments of 5 each, 100 in total. Fifteen return nothing, four return 10 each and one returns 300. The fund gets back 340, or 3.4 times its money, and the one winner produced almost 90 percent of it. This is why venture investors back companies that could become very large, and why an average is a poor guide to venture results.

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