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Does a cement plant expansion create value?
You run the case. Read the prompt, answer questions from the notes below, and share data only when the candidate asks for it or gets stuck. Score at the end.
Case timer
00:00
1. Read the prompt aloud
Read it slowly, then pause. Let the candidate ask questions before they structure.
A cement producer in the UAE (fictional, AED millions) earns EBIT of 150 on invested capital of 1,000. Tax is 20 percent (illustrative). It is funded 60 percent by equity, which costs 12 percent, and 40 percent by debt at 6 percent before tax. Management wants to invest another 500 in a new line expected to earn a return of 7 percent after tax. Does the company create value today, and would the expansion add to it?
2. Answers to clarifying questions
This case has no scripted clarifying answers. Answer from the prompt, and say "assume what you think is reasonable" if the prompt does not cover it.
3. A model structure
Compare the candidate's structure with this one. A different split can be just as good if it is clean and fits the problem.
- Value created each year = (ROIC minus WACC) x invested capital (this comes from the question: does the return beat the cost?)
- ROIC today: NOPAT divided by invested capital
- WACC: the weighted after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity
- Value created today, and by the expansion
4. The working, step by step
Each step shows how a strong candidate works it out. Share a new fact from it only when the candidate asks or is stuck, and let them do the math: the result in the dark box is what they should reach.
Step 1: NOPAT
What a strong candidate does: EBIT 150 after 20 percent tax.
NOPAT (AED millions): 150 × 0.8 = 120
Step 2: ROIC
What a strong candidate does: NOPAT divided by invested capital of 1,000.
ROIC (percent): 120 ÷ 1,000 × 100 = 12
Step 3: After-tax cost of debt
What a strong candidate does: Interest of 6 percent, less the 20 percent tax saving.
After-tax cost of debt (percent): 6 × (1 - 0.2) = 4.8
Step 4: WACC
What a strong candidate does: 60 percent at 12, plus 40 percent at 4.8.
WACC (percent): 0.6 × 12 + 0.4 × 4.8 = 9.12
Step 5: Value created today
What a strong candidate does: The spread of 12 minus 9.12 on capital of 1,000. This is often called economic profit.
Economic profit today (AED millions): (12 - 9.12) ÷ 100 × 1,000 = 28.8
Step 6: The expansion
What a strong candidate does: A return of 7 percent on 500, against a cost of 9.12 percent.
Economic profit of the expansion (AED millions): (7 - 9.12) ÷ 100 × 500 = -10.6
The recommendation to listen for
At the end, say: "The CEO walks in. What is your recommendation?"
The company creates value today, but the expansion as planned would destroy it. Today it earns a 12 percent return against a cost of capital of about 9.1 percent, which is about AED 29 million a year of value above the cost. The new line would earn 7 percent on 500 million, below its cost, which means about AED 10.6 million a year of value lost even though it adds profit. The risk in the analysis is the 7 percent estimate itself: a higher cement price could lift it. As a next step, find what price or cost level would take the new line above 9.1 percent before approving it.
Risks a strong answer names: The cost of equity is an estimate, not a bill, so test a range; A cement price change moves both returns.
Score the candidate
Score each criterion from 1 to 5. A 2 or a 4 sits between the descriptions.
This case has no exhibit. Score Exhibit reading on how the candidate used the data you gave them: did they pick out the number that matters and say what it means?
Total
0 out of 25
Score all five criteria to see the band and the feedback template.