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An Indian snack brand enters Saudi Arabia

The prompt

An Indian snack brand is considering Saudi Arabia, a market of about 500 million packs a year. It expects to reach 1 percent share in year one, 2.5 percent in year two, and 4 percent in year three, earning a contribution of SAR 0.50 per pack. Running the local business (team, marketing, and fees to get on shelves) costs SAR 4 million a year, and the one-time entry cost (setup, product registration, halal certification) is SAR 6 million. Does it pay back within three years, and how should it enter?

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