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Pharma, biotech and medical devices
Lesson 2 of 3 Math checked Last reviewed 28 September 2026 17 min

Revenue models, cost structure, unit economics and operations

How branded pharma, generics, biotech, contract manufacturers and medtech make money, what their costs look like, and the key metrics, with a launch and a licensing deal worked through.

Industry brief, with a one-minute summary: Pharma, biotech and medtech

Firm processes and online tests change from year to year and differ by office. Use this to prepare, and confirm the exact current steps on the firm's own careers page.

Key takeaways

  • A branded medicine earns patients times net price times years of protection; generics earn thin margins on huge volumes; device makers earn on their installed base and the consumables that go with it.
  • Active ingredients. A few countries make a large share of the world's active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) and generics.
  • Quality. Factories must follow Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) and pass inspections by regulators such as the FDA.
  • Cold chain. Many biologics and vaccines must be kept cold, often between 2 and 8 degrees Celsius, all the way from the factory to the patient.

Key idea

A branded medicine earns patients times net price times years of protection; generics earn thin margins on huge volumes; device makers earn on their installed base and the consumables that go with it.

Revenue models in pharma, biotech and medtech
Revenue models in pharma, biotech and medtech
ModelWho earns this wayHow revenue is madeWhat drives profit
Branded (patented) medicinesLarge research-based pharma, successful biotechsPatients treated x net price per year, for the years of exclusivityBenefit over current treatment, payer coverage, years left before LOE
GenericsGeneric makers (many in India, also in Europe, Israel and the US)High volumes at low prices, often won in public or hospital tendersCost of making, speed to launch when protection ends, number of competitors
BiosimilarsSpecialist biologic makersDiscounted copies of biologicsManufacturing scale and quality, willingness of doctors and payers to switch
Licensing and partneringBiotechs licensing to larger companiesAn upfront payment, milestone payments when the drug reaches steps such as approval, then royalties on salesQuality of the science, deal terms
Contract research and manufacturing (CRO, CDMO)Service companies that run trials or make drugs for othersFees per project or per batchCapacity utilization, quality record, scale
Medical devicesDevice makersEquipment sales, consumables used in each procedure, service contractsInstalled base, procedure volumes, product upgrades
Over-the-counter (OTC) and consumer healthBrands sold without a prescriptionRetail sales, much like consumer goodsBrand, distribution, marketing

So-what

Ask first which model the client uses. A generic maker and a branded maker face opposite problems.

Gross-to-net. The list price of a medicine is rarely what the company receives. Payers negotiate discounts and rebates, and governments set or cap prices. The gap between list price and the net price the company keeps is called gross-to-net. In the US the gap is large for many medicines. Always work with net price in a case.

Approximate cost structure, US-listed companies, share of sales(percent of sales)
Approximate cost structure, US-listed companies, share of sales
LinePharmaceutical companies (percent)Healthcare products, mostly medtech (percent)
Cost of goods sold28.346
Research and development20.97.2
Selling, general and administrative21.929.8
Operating margin before tax29.515.3

Source: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern, US data as of January 2026. Approximate; columns may not add to exactly 100 because of other items and rounding. Biotech averages are not shown because many biotechs have little or no revenue yet, which distorts the ratios.

So-what

In pharma, research (about 21 percent of sales) and selling (about 22 percent) together cost more than making the product (about 28 percent). In medtech, making the product and supporting it in hospitals cost more, and research less.

Worked case

Launch economics: a new lung treatment in Germany

The prompt

A fictional mid-sized pharma company plans to launch a new treatment for a chronic lung disease in Germany. About 50,000 patients are eligible, and it expects to treat 20 percent of them at peak. The net price (after discounts) is EUR 12,000 per patient per year. Making the drug costs 10 percent of net sales, and the medical and sales team costs EUR 30 million a year. What are peak sales and peak yearly contribution after the sales team?

Open this case to practice it with a partner

The structure

  • Peak contribution = patients x share x net price, minus cost of goods and the launch team
    • Patients treated at peak
    • Peak sales
    • Minus cost of goods and the sales team

Working it through

  1. 1. Patients treated

    20 percent of 50,000.

    Patients treated at peak:50,000 × 0.2 = 10,000
  2. 2. Peak sales

    10,000 patients at EUR 12,000.

    Peak sales (EUR millions):50,000 × 0.2 × 12,000 ÷ 1,000,000 = 120
  3. 3. Cost of goods

    10 percent of sales.

    Cost of goods (EUR millions):120 × 0.1 = 12
  4. 4. Contribution after the sales team

    Sales minus cost of goods minus EUR 30 million.

    Peak contribution (EUR millions):120 - 12 - 30 = 78

The recommendation

The company should launch, because peak sales of EUR 120 million from 10,000 treated patients give about EUR 78 million a year of contribution after the EUR 30 million sales team. First, making the drug costs only EUR 12 million at peak, so most sales fall through to contribution. Second, the result rests on two drivers: a 20 percent share of eligible patients and the EUR 12,000 net price. The risk is the German benefit assessment: if it finds no added benefit, the negotiated price can be much lower. As a next step, test with doctors whether the drug beats current treatment by enough to win a 20 percent share.

Risks: Uptake is usually slow: peak sales often come several years after launch; If the benefit assessment finds no added benefit, the negotiated price can be much lower.

Worked case

Keep the drug or license it out?

The prompt

A fictional biotech in Boston owns a drug about to enter Phase II. A large pharma company offers USD 50 million upfront now, plus USD 200 million if the drug is approved. The biotech estimates a 15 percent chance of approval from here, in line with the BIO data for drugs entering Phase II. If it keeps the drug, it must spend USD 120 million on trials, and if the drug is approved it expects it to be worth USD 1,000 million. Ignoring the time value of money, which option has the higher expected value?

Open this case to practice it with a partner

The structure

  • Expected value = probability x payoff, minus costs that are certain
    • License: upfront + probability x milestone
    • Keep: probability x value if approved, minus trial cost

Working it through

  1. 1. License

    USD 50 million for sure, plus a 15 percent chance of USD 200 million.

    Expected value of licensing (USD millions):50 + 0.15 × 200 = 80
  2. 2. Keep

    A 15 percent chance of USD 1,000 million, minus USD 120 million of trials.

    Expected value of keeping (USD millions):0.15 × 1,000 - 120 = 30
  3. 3. Difference

    License minus keep.

    Advantage of licensing (USD millions):80 - 30 = 50

The recommendation

The biotech should license the drug, because licensing has an expected value of USD 80 million against USD 30 million for keeping it, an advantage of USD 50 million. First, the USD 50 million upfront is certain, while keeping depends on a 15 percent chance of approval. Second, licensing removes the risk of spending USD 120 million on trials for a drug that fails, which matters for a small company with limited cash. The risk is that the 15 percent estimate is too low for this drug. As a next step, test the decision with discounted cash flows and a range of approval odds.

Operations and supply chain

  • Active ingredients. A few countries make a large share of the world's active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) and generics. India's government says the country supplies about 20 percent of the world's generic medicines. Since the shortages of 2020, buyers in the US and Europe have been adding other sources.
  • Quality. Factories must follow Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) and pass inspections by regulators such as the FDA. A failed inspection can stop supply from a plant for months.
  • Cold chain. Many biologics and vaccines must be kept cold, often between 2 and 8 degrees Celsius, all the way from the factory to the patient.
  • Contract manufacturing. Many companies use contract development and manufacturing organizations (CDMOs) instead of owning every plant. Examples include Samsung Biologics (South Korea), Lonza (Switzerland) and WuXi Biologics (China).
  • Distribution. Wholesalers buy from manufacturers and supply pharmacies and hospitals. In many countries a few wholesalers handle most of the volume.
  • Devices. Hospitals expect training, fast repairs and spare parts. Field service engineers and loaned instrument sets for surgeries are real costs that pharma companies do not have.
Key metrics in pharma, biotech and medtech
Key metrics in pharma, biotech and medtech
MetricPlain definition
PipelineThe drugs a company is developing, listed by phase
Probability of success (PoS)The chance that a drug in a given phase will be approved
Peak salesThe highest yearly sales a drug is expected to reach
Loss of exclusivity (LOE) dateWhen patents and data protection end and copies can enter
Gross-to-netThe gap between list price and the net price after discounts and rebates
R&D as a share of salesResearch and development spend divided by revenue
Market accessThe share of patients whose payer covers the drug
AdherenceThe share of patients who take the medicine as prescribed
Installed base (devices)The number of machines or systems in use at customers
Consumables per procedure (devices)The recurring revenue from single-use items each time a device is used
Capacity utilization (manufacturing)Actual output divided by the maximum possible output

So-what

Ask for the two or three metrics that fit the case: pipeline and PoS for a biotech deal, LOE and gross-to-net for a revenue decline, installed base for a device maker.

Timed math drill

A brand-name drug sells USD 1,000 million a year in the US. After generics enter, the brand keeps 20 percent of its volume and cuts its price by 30 percent. What are its new yearly sales, in USD millions?

Timed math drill

A surgical robot maker has 500 robots installed in European hospitals. Each robot is used for 300 procedures a year, and each procedure uses EUR 1,500 of instruments and accessories. What is its yearly consumables revenue, in EUR millions?

Timed math drill

A drug has a list price of USD 1,000 a month. Rebates and discounts to payers average 45 percent. What net price does the company keep, in USD per month?

Check your understanding

A biotech receives an upfront payment, then milestone payments, then royalties on sales. What is this model?

Check your understanding

Why is cost of goods usually a small share of sales for patented medicines?

Check your understanding

Which metric matters most for a device maker's recurring revenue?

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