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Which risks should a food factory in Johor pay to reduce?

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The biscuit factory's risk register(MYR millions; chance in percent a year)
The biscuit factory's risk register
RiskChance a year (percent)Impact if it happens (MYR millions)Expected loss a year (MYR millions)Owner
Main flour supplier fails1080.8Head of purchasing
Flood shuts the plant for months2501Plant manager
Oven breakdown (the bottleneck)3020.6Head of maintenance
Cyberattack stops ordering560.3Head of IT
Product recall3200.6Head of quality

The prompt

A biscuit factory in Johor, Malaysia makes about MYR 15 million of profit a year. Its risk register is in the table with this case. Three actions are proposed: a second flour supplier (MYR 0.4 million a year extra), which would cut the impact of the main supplier failing from MYR 8 million to 2 million; a spare parts kit for the oven (MYR 0.15 million a year), which would halve the impact of a breakdown; and flood insurance (MYR 1.2 million a year), which would pay MYR 40 million of the MYR 50 million flood loss. Which should it take? (Fictional company, illustrative figures.)

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The exhibit

The biscuit factory's risk register(MYR millions; chance in percent a year)
The biscuit factory's risk register
RiskChance a year (percent)Impact if it happens (MYR millions)Expected loss a year (MYR millions)Owner
Main flour supplier fails1080.8Head of purchasing
Flood shuts the plant for months2501Plant manager
Oven breakdown (the bottleneck)3020.6Head of maintenance
Cyberattack stops ordering560.3Head of IT
Product recall3200.6Head of quality
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